New startup ideas · Physical world · Climate and energy
startup idea
Tariffwire
One API that turns every US utility tariff into hourly marginal cost per meter.
Tariffwire ingests utility tariff sheets, riders, demand charges, time-of-use calendars and interconnection rules from public PUC filings and returns, for any US service address, the hourly cost of the next kilowatt-hour and the cost of adding load.
- Infrastructure and APIs
- Enterprise
- $100B+ market
- Creates a new category
- US first
3/5
venture judge
2
similar startups, last 2 years (5 all-time)
96%
of 4 nearest real companies still alive
yes
7 matching federal grants and programs
Direction supported by government programs and grants
Scorecard
One score that balances how trendy the idea is, the demand for it and its potential for 100x, with competition measured relative to every other idea in the catalog. Recent startup trends first, government priorities second.
65
Idea Score, 0-100 · raw 39.4 x 1.64
Warm
competition: more crowded than 32% of ideas · headwind x0.84
+2.2
government priorities, secondary (7 matching grants)
Trend
42
Is the wave forming now? 2025-26 entrants vs 2023-24, rounds since 2025, the sector's live-batch direction, the 2026 trend analyst.
- Entrants 2025-26 vs 2023-24 (similar companies)23
- Rounds announced 2025+ in the sector68
- Sector direction (live batch)50
- 2026 trend analyst25
Demand
39
Does anyone want it? YC's current RFS, companies already paid for something similar, the operator judge, founders' yes-rate in decks, readers who would run the test.
- YC asks for it (current RFS: idea / sector)0
- Someone already pays (similar companies, recent / all-time)42
- Operator judge: real pain75
100x potential
54
Can it return a fund? The venture judge (double weight), market-size and moat axes, neighbours still alive, the technologist judge.
- Venture judge50
- Market size axis100
- Moat axis20
- Neighbours still alive81
- Technologist judge25
Score = 100 x cbrt(Trend x Demand x 100x) x (1 - 0.5 x crowding) + government bonus (max 5), calibrated so the 95th-percentile idea scores 90 (order never changes). A geometric mean: a weak pillar cannot be papered over. Percentiles are among the 272 ideas in the catalog; the terms matched were utility, tariff, hourly, marginal, ingests, sheets, riders, demand.
The idea in full
- What
- Tariffwire ingests utility tariff sheets, riders, demand charges, time-of-use calendars and interconnection rules from public PUC filings and returns, for any US service address, the hourly cost of the next kilowatt-hour and the cost of adding load. Enterprise buyers are data center operators, EV charging networks, ERP and asset management vendors, and solar and storage developers who currently keep this in spreadsheets. Pricing is self-serve and per API call, with a flat enterprise tier above a call volume.
- Why now
- WattShift entered Techstars TS 2026 building exactly a utility rate database with price signals, and Condor Energy (YC W26) is selling enterprise energy procurement software on top of the same missing data, while Pelm, the 2022 attempt at Plaid for utilities, sits in the graveyard because account access was the wrong layer; tariff documents are public, so the reference layer can be built without any utility permission.
- Wedge: first customer and entry point
- Two people cover the twenty US utilities that serve the most colocation load, sell a single endpoint to the energy analysts at three data center developers, and let their own engineers self-serve API keys.
- Path to 100x
- US commercial and industrial electricity spend is a $100B+ base and every AI energy agent, procurement tool and siting model now needs a programmatic price for it, which is a category that does not exist as a product today. The path runs from read-only reference calls to sitting inside the transaction: bill validation, load-shift settlement and a share of verified savings, so the pricing layer becomes the accounting layer that competitors have to reconcile against.
- Ceiling
- Reference data alone plausibly caps at $100-300M of ARR, and if PUCs mandate machine-readable tariffs the product becomes a thin wrapper on a free feed.
- Closest real companies, as the generator saw them
- WattShift is closest and is building a rate database as a product for utilities and analysts; Tariffwire sells a read-only developer API and never touches customer accounts, which is where Pelm died. Condor Energy is a procurement application and a likely customer rather than a rival; Astro builds energy development workflows that need this data underneath.
- Main risk
- Tariff data is public, so a well-funded incumbent or an open dataset can replicate the corpus in a year and drive price per call to zero.
Five judges
Each judge scores every idea in the catalog with a named rubric; the venture judge decides whether a card is shown at all (4-5 is venture-grade).
Venture investor
3/5
Real $100B+ adjacency and self-serve API, but public tariff docs plus WattShift racing there means no compounding moat until it reaches settlement.
Bootstrapper
5/5
Two people cover twenty utilities and sell a self-serve API to buyers already paying analysts to maintain the same spreadsheets.
Operator
4/5
Data center energy analysts maintain tariff spreadsheets today, so the API replaces existing labor with no workflow change, but per-call reference data commoditizes fast.
Technologist
2/5
The corpus is public PUC filings, and the card itself admits a funded rival or open dataset rebuilds it in a year with no accumulating advantage.
Risk
5/5
Tariff sheets are public PUC filings, so no utility permission, no account access and no single platform can cut off the corpus.
trends
2/5
Tariff PDFs were equally public in 2023 and the card concedes no moat; demand from AI energy agents is asserted, not dated.
Similar startups in the directory
Companies whose pitch matches most of the idea's terms (utility, tariff, hourly, marginal, ingests, sheets, riders, demand): 5 all-time, 2 from the last two years. Same matching as Idea Check.
Autolane is an autonomous-vehicle operating system that lets retailers, QSRs, and malls manage pickups, ease traffic, boost customer convenience, and unlock delivery and ride-hail revenue.
Delivering BETTER protein ingredients, today.
Plaid for utilities
Demand forecasting for logistics operators.
Artificial Intelligence solution for supply chain optimization and maximizing margins.
The generator's reference companies
Real companies the model named as closest when it wrote the card, with their fate. A check mark is a company the radar could verify in its directory.
Public money in this direction
US federal grants, SBIR/STTR awards and open opportunities from the radar's public-money feed, matched to the idea's terms; the sector totals give the context.
7
grants and programs matching the idea
180
startup-relevant grants in Climate and energy
$155M
awarded in the sector, tracked
19
opportunities open now in the sector
National Science Foundation · SBIR Phase I · $305K · posted 2026-08-13
- I-Corps: Translation Potential of a Rapid Stress Detection Platform for Greenhouse Cropsawardhigh relevance
National Science Foundation · I-Corps · $50K · posted 2026-08-10
National Science Foundation · I-Corps · $50K · posted 2026-08-10
- Integrated High-Throughput Microfluidic-Mass Spectrometry for Enhanced Biomedical Data Generation and AI Model Trainingawardhigh relevance
NIH / NIGMS · SBIR phase II · $300K · posted 2026-08-04
- Beyond SPE: Automated Nanoparticle Workflow with Photo-Elution for High-Throughput, Scalable PFAS Monitoringawardhigh relevance
NIH / NIEHS · SBIR phase I · $307K · posted 2026-07-01
NIH / NIDCR · SBIR phase I · $406K · posted 2025-08-25
- CPS Small: Integrating Bayesian Deep Learning, Microeconometrics, and Graph-Based Data for Enhanced Interpretable Choice Models with Heterogeneous Network Interactionsawardmedium relevance
National Science Foundation · CPS-Cyber-Physical Systems · $600K · posted 2026-08-16
Market signal
What the radar sees in Climate and energy: new companies by cohort year, the forming YC batch, and outcomes since the February snapshot.
Climate and energy · 92 → 112 → 184 → 97 → 32 new companies 2022 → 2026 · 91% aliveYC S26: 2 in this cluster, 1% of the batch (was 1% in X26) (F26 is still forming: 21 listed)Since February, of 118 YC companies here: 0 acquired, 2 shut down, 4 rewrote their pitch
Design attributes
The card is one cell of a designed set: every axis below was chosen before the text was written, and the text had to realize it.
- Buyer
- Enterprise
- Business model
- Infrastructure and APIs
- Path to 100x
- Creates a new category
- Market size
- $100B+ market
- Capital intensity
- Capital-light (software margins)
- Speed to revenue
- Revenue within a year
- Technical depth
- Integrations, no-code
- Go-to-market
- Self-serve
- Moat
- No moat yet
- Geography
- US first
- Regulation
- Some regulation
- Vibe
- Boring business
Listed under
An idea sits in its own sector and in any sector its text clearly touches.
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Fictional company written 2026-08-22 from MarkosWeb data; the companies, grants and numbers around it are real and tracked. Treat the idea as a research prompt, not a plan.