New startup ideas · Physical world · Robotics and physical world
startup idea
Dutycycle
Metering, billing and SLA API for companies selling robots by the unit of work.
Dutycycle is an API that robot vendors call to turn machine telemetry into money: it meters completed work units (picks, square meters, inspection hours), applies the contract's rate card and uptime credits, issues the invoice, and exposes a signed utilization record their customers and lenders can audit.
- Infrastructure and APIs
- Enterprise
- $1-10B market
- Platform others build on
- US first
3/5
venture judge
14
similar startups, last 2 years (43 all-time)
96%
of 3 nearest real companies still alive
yes
8 matching federal grants and programs
Direction supported by government programs and grants
Scorecard
One score that balances how trendy the idea is, the demand for it and its potential for 100x, with competition measured relative to every other idea in the catalog. Recent startup trends first, government priorities second.
61
Idea Score, 0-100 · raw 37.2 x 1.64
Crowded
competition: more crowded than 81% of ideas · headwind x0.59
+3.7
government priorities, secondary (36 matching grants)
Trend
84
Is the wave forming now? 2025-26 entrants vs 2023-24, rounds since 2025, the sector's live-batch direction, the 2026 trend analyst.
- Entrants 2025-26 vs 2023-24 (similar companies)95
- Rounds announced 2025+ in the sector25
- Rounds announced 2025+ matching the idea100
- Sector direction (live batch)100
- 2026 trend analyst100
Demand
60
Does anyone want it? YC's current RFS, companies already paid for something similar, the operator judge, founders' yes-rate in decks, readers who would run the test.
- YC asks for it (current RFS: idea / sector)30
- Someone already pays (similar companies, recent / all-time)100
- Operator judge: real pain50
100x potential
36
Can it return a fund? The venture judge (double weight), market-size and moat axes, neighbours still alive, the technologist judge.
- Venture judge50
- Market size axis33
- Moat axis20
- Neighbours still alive36
- Technologist judge25
Score = 100 x cbrt(Trend x Demand x 100x) x (1 - 0.5 x crowding) + government bonus (max 5), calibrated so the 95th-percentile idea scores 90 (order never changes). A geometric mean: a weak pillar cannot be papered over. Percentiles are among the 272 ideas in the catalog; the terms matched were metering, billing, sla, selling, robots, unit, robot, vendors.
The idea in full
- What
- Dutycycle is an API that robot vendors call to turn machine telemetry into money: it meters completed work units (picks, square meters, inspection hours), applies the contract's rate card and uptime credits, issues the invoice, and exposes a signed utilization record their customers and lenders can audit. It ships with connectors to common fleet stacks so a vendor can bill outcome-based contracts in weeks instead of building an internal metering team. Priced as a percentage of billed volume, distributed through robot OEMs and integrators in the US.
- Why now
- Robots-as-a-service financing is where the money is going right now: Moove raised $250M in August 2026 to be the backbone of the robotaxi industry and Pacific is mass-producing and financing micro data centers, while Manifold ships deployment-ready robotic labor for warehouses; all of them bill by usage and all of them are writing the metering layer themselves. Ember Robotics died in 2024 building Datadog for robots because observability was a cost center, whereas metering sits on the invoice.
- Wedge: first customer and entry point
- Seed and Series A warehouse robot vendors with 5 to 50 deployed units who are invoicing from spreadsheets: start with pick-count metering and monthly invoice generation for one customer contract type.
- Path to 100x
- Metering and billing infrastructure for outcome-priced physical automation is a $1-10B take-rate market that grows with every robot hour billed, and because the utilization record is what lenders underwrite, financing and insurance products can be built on top of it, making Dutycycle a platform rather than a billing tool. There is no moat on day one, which is why it must reach the integrator channel before an incumbent billing vendor adds a robotics connector.
- Ceiling
- A generic usage-billing vendor adds robot connectors and Dutycycle's percentage take collapses to a flat per-event fee.
- Closest real companies, as the generator saw them
- Agency Tool Company sells infrastructure to build, deploy and manage real-world robots and Osseus is a robotics development platform; both serve engineering, Dutycycle serves the revenue side of the same fleet. Ember Robotics proved the monitoring-only version of this does not pay.
- Main risk
- Every robot vendor considers billing core and keeps it in house, leaving Dutycycle with only the smallest fleets.
Five judges
Each judge scores every idea in the catalog with a named rubric; the venture judge decides whether a card is shown at all (4-5 is venture-grade).
Venture investor
3/5
Sitting on the invoice and the lender-underwritten utilization record is the right wedge, but vendors keep billing in house and no moat exists yet.
Bootstrapper
4/5
Revenue within a year taking a percentage of invoices that warehouse robot vendors currently produce from spreadsheets.
Operator
3/5
Vendors invoicing 5 to 50 units from spreadsheets feel it, but most robot companies treat billing as core and keep it in house.
Technologist
2/5
Turning pick counts into invoices is connector work with no moat on day one, and a generic usage-billing vendor adds a robotics connector in a sprint.
Risk
2/5
No moat, percentage of billed volume from seed-stage vendors with 5 to 50 units who mostly consider billing core.
trends
5/5
Tempo's March 2026 Machine Payments Protocol plus robotics jumping to 13% of YC S26 makes per-work-unit robot billing sellable exactly now, not in 2023.
Similar startups in the directory
Companies whose pitch matches most of the idea's terms (metering, billing, sla, selling, robots, unit, robot, vendors): 43 all-time, 14 from the last two years. Same matching as Idea Check.
Enabling Autonomous Intralogistics.
sub-$2000 humanoid robot you can teach to do anything
Building a sovereign Starlink
Turns every company into a data vendor
Drone swarm defence at a small-unit level
Autonomous services for humanity.
robots & software for farms
CV and robotics to automate quality inspection in fish farms
AI Revenue Engine for the Equipment Industry
Snowbotix
We’re the one-line code deployment system that gives robots, hardware, and devices instant interoperability.
Robots for the inspection and maintenance of data centers
The generator's reference companies
Real companies the model named as closest when it wrote the card, with their fate. A check mark is a company the radar could verify in its directory.
Public money in this direction
US federal grants, SBIR/STTR awards and open opportunities from the radar's public-money feed, matched to the idea's terms; the sector totals give the context.
8
grants and programs matching the idea
284
startup-relevant grants in Robotics and physical world
$260M
awarded in the sector, tracked
3
opportunities open now in the sector
- Implantable Intelligent Engineered System to Enable Virtual Bidirectional Muscle-Prosthesis Mechanical Interaction for Amputeesawardhigh relevance
National Science Foundation · M3X - Mind, Machine, and Motor, Special Initiatives, Dynamics, Control and System D · $809K · posted 2026-08-21
- SBIR Phase I: Wireless Sidestep Network: Harnessing Sub-terahertz to Enable New Degrees of Freedom in AI Data Center Architecturesawardhigh relevance
National Science Foundation · SBIR Phase I · $305K · posted 2026-08-18
NIH / NEI · STTR phase I · $312K · posted 2026-08-15
- Linguistic and Cultural Adaptation of Remote Medication Dispensing System (Hub+Spoke) for OUD Treatment Among Limited English Proficient (LEP) Populationsawardhigh relevance
NIH / NIMHD · SBIR phase I · $357K · posted 2026-08-05
- SBIR Phase I: AI-Enhanced Robotic Continuum Robotic Instruments for use in Endoscopic Surgeryawardhigh relevance
National Science Foundation · SBIR Phase I · $305K · posted 2026-07-06
- Development and Validation of a Compliant Reversible Actuator and Detector Leveraging Electrophysiology for Organoids (Organoid-CRADLE)awardhigh relevance
NIH / NIMH · SBIR phase I · $500K · posted 2025-09-24
- NSF PCL-Test Bed: Towards a General Platform for AI-Driven High-Throughput Reaction Discovery and Automationawardmedium relevance
National Science Foundation · PCL-Programmable Cloud Labs · $20M · posted 2026-07-21
National Science Foundation · FRR-Foundationl Rsrch Robotics · $1M · posted 2026-08-20
Market signal
What the radar sees in Robotics and physical world: new companies by cohort year, the forming YC batch, and outcomes since the February snapshot.
Robotics and physical world · 77 → 60 → 202 → 133 → 120 new companies 2022 → 2026 · 91% aliveYC S26: 32 in this cluster, 13% of the batch (was 6% in X26) (F26 is still forming: 21 listed)Since February, of 253 YC companies here: 2 acquired, 3 shut down, 33 rewrote their pitch
Design attributes
The card is one cell of a designed set: every axis below was chosen before the text was written, and the text had to realize it.
- Buyer
- Enterprise
- Business model
- Infrastructure and APIs
- Path to 100x
- Platform others build on
- Market size
- $1-10B market
- Capital intensity
- Capital-light (software margins)
- Speed to revenue
- Revenue within a year
- Technical depth
- Integrations, no-code
- Go-to-market
- Partners and channels
- Moat
- No moat yet
- Geography
- US first
- Regulation
- Unregulated
- Vibe
- Hot space
Listed under
An idea sits in its own sector and in any sector its text clearly touches.
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